Week 4 Best Bets: Believe in Singletary
After another successful result in Week 3, Michael Norbury sits at 8-1 on the season. Here are his best bets for Week 4 of the NFL season.
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Buffalo Bills @ Las Vegas Raiders
The ‘Bills mafia’ are jubilant going into Week 4. They’re 3-0 and Josh Allen doubters are feeling the heat in their Twitter mentions. The Raiders were riding high off the back of a win against New Orleans in Week 2 but the Las Vegas residents were jolted back down to earth in New England. We have an intriguing matchup on our hands.
Offensive Prowess
Both teams have shown they know their way to the endzone this season, the Bills rank third in points per game (31) with the Raiders sitting in ninth (29.3). The Bills have been pass heavy, Josh Allen has been throwing like a man with a point to prove and only Dak Prescott has more yards through the air thus far in 2020.
This fixture may see a change in approach, running backs have enjoyed plenty of success on the ground against this Raiders defense and they rank 28th in rushing yards conceded. The Bills showed in 2019 that they can be dangerous on the ground, expect them to lean on this more in this one. The Raiders offense has been more balanced, Josh Jacobs is a gun at running back and Derek Carr has useful targets around him, most notably tight end Darren Waller who will be chomping at the bit after being Belichick-ed in Week 3. They can get at this Bills defense through the air (28th in passing yards conceded).
The Pick
A tough game to call where any result wouldn’t come as a surprise, it makes sense to avoid those markets and exploit the value in the player props. Bills running back Devin Singletary was one of the few running backs to go over five yards per carry in 2019 on his way to 775 yards (64.6 yards per game). He should see plenty of ball as the Bills target this creaky Raiders run defense and go beyond the 58.5 yards line. (5/6 multiple sites).
