Week 11 NFL Player Prop Bets
By Adam Martin
It has been a ruthless season in the NFL so far, with injuries piling up across the league just as we approach the mosrt critical point of the season. But with adversity comes opportunity – and none more so than for us fans, who can enjoy speculating on some new names in the form of our weekly flutter! With Thanksgiving on the horizon, here are some intriguing prop bets for Sunday’s action in Week 11.
As always, these bets are for entertainment only, and please gamble responsibly. All the odds below are from our friends at 888 Sport:
Arizona Cardinals @ Houston Texans
Trey McBride Over 5.5 Receptions @ 11/10
Trey McBride has had a great season so far and the promise we all saw in college is starting to come to fruition. With Zack Ertz still on IR, its McBride who has become a target for every Cardinals QB that has played over the last few weeks.
A huge positive for McBride is the comeback of star QB Kyler Murray. Although he was a capable play when Josh Dobbs was there, Murray is a cut above. Last week in Kyler’s first game back, McBride had eight receptions for 131 yards.
This week they are going up against a Houston Texans side who are scoring well under rookie QB CJ Stroud. The Cardinal’s defense is poor and so Kyler Murray will have to throw the ball more to keep up. McBride should see plenty of targets in this game and so the 11/10 price looks solid.
Chicago Bears @ Detroit Lions
Sam LaPorta Anytime TD @ 11/8
Lions rookie Sam LaPorta continues to be a safety net for Jared Goff. Great job settling here and making the play through traffic to move the chains.— Seven Rounds in Heaven (@7RoundsInHeaven) November 13, 2023
The second-round pick out of Iowa has had an incredible rookie season. pic.twitter.com/wI8nD4nLGV
The Detroit Lions look like a completely different team to one you would have seen just a couple of years ago. What Dan Campbell and his staff have done there is nothing short of remarkable. One of the main components is the emergence of rookie tight end Sam LaPorta.
LaPorta has hit the ground running since he was drafted back in April and has become a valuable target for QB Jared Goff. In the last four games LaPorta has played in, he has been averaging just under six receptions. Also, he has scored four TD’s this season, all at home.
In this game he is going up against the Chicago Bears team who have struggled to contain defenses this season. They have shown signs of improvement over the last few weeks, but they are still ranked 30th when it comes to giving up passing TD’s. 11/8 looks a good price for LaPorta this week.
Los Angeles Chargers @ Green Bay Packers
Luke Musgrave Anytime TD @ 12/5
We are going to keep this tight end love in going with another TD scorer. Luke Musgrave might not have had the same media reaction as Sam LaPorta or Dalton Kincaid, but he is running the same number of snaps as them. He has made himself a valuable part of a young Packers team and he is getting better as the season goes on.
He scored his first TD at home against the Rams two weeks ago and he is up against another team from LA on Sunday. He is proving to be a big bodied target for QB Jordan Love, especially over the middle of the field, just where Love likes to throw it.
The Chargers have struggled on defense all season and it doesn’t look to be changing anytime soon. They are ranked tied 24th when it comes to giving up passing TD’s and so Musgrave looks a good bet at a very juicy price of 12/5
New York Jets @ Buffalo Bills
Dalton Kincaid Anytime TD @ 6/4
The final part of our tight end four piece is Dalton Kincaid to score a TD. The Bills have struggled this year compared to last season. They are sitting at 5-5 and they desperately need to get another win on the board quickly. This feels like a good opportunity and Kincaid can be an integral part of that.
It is clear to see that Kincaid has become the number two option for QB Josh Allen, behind Stefon Diggs. He has scored two TDs in the last three games and with his emergence we have seen the opposite happen to Gabe Davis.
The Jets still have a very good defense but due to the lack of any offense they are struggling to be as effective as they could be. Zack Wilson can only provide so much for the Jets, so their D is getting burnt out. Although the Bills haven’t been as good as before, Josh Allen is still one of the best in the league and so 6/4 for Kincaid is a good price.
Adam is part of the franchise tag podcast and regularly puts out fantasy and betting content. he contributes articles for BetVictor and has been part of the nfl uk community for multiple years. Find him on Twitter @AdamM_NFL