Week 3 NFL Redzone Picks
Week 3 sees eight NFL games in the early slot, and Steve Moore is back to break down all the angles and put together his accumulator picks.
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Is it time to call time on the Eagles?
One of the most important things to do when accessing betting angles is to realise quickly when a pre-season held view is completely wrong. Anyone who was reading our pre-season content knows just how high I was on the Eagles. Not only did I tip them to win the NFC East but I even suggested that Carson Wentz might be an outside MVP candidate. On top of that, they are the entire reason that last weeks accumulator did not come in.
They are horribly banged up on the offensive line and it is time to ‘jump off the bandwagon’ as it were. Despite this, the Eagles should beat the Bengals. However, the only team I trust out of those two right now are the Bengals to keep it close. They have lost both games by a combined eight points, so I am taking the Bengals +5.5 (10/11 with SkyBet and BetFred).
Still not buying the Bears
Meanwhile the Chicago Bears are 2-0 and are facing a 0-2 team. The bland, Trubisky-lead Bears could be 3-0. They won’t be. Why?
Because they are frankly not a true 2-0 team. They won in Week 1 because the Lions went to sleep and beat the Giants 17-13 in Week 2. A Giants side without Saquon Barkley and Sterling Shepard.
On the other side, what everyone is taking out of the Falcons loss was the fact it was an historic loss, not that their offense was good enough to put those points up in the first place. Last week hurt and it was a horrible loss yes but the Bears simple are not good enough to do what the Cowboys did, no matter how bad the Falcons defense and special teams is. I don’t see any way that the Falcons (4/7 with various), don’t win this game and they are frankly my nap of the week.
Battle of the banged up
Speaking of that beat-up Giants side, they get to face a team this week that is suffering even more injury hardship than themselves in the San Francisco 49ers.
Even with Nick Mullins behind centre and with a rash of injuries elsewhere on the roster, they should beat the Giants. It is quite apparent that the 49ers are not playing the Giants, they are playing the MetLife stadium turf.
Arik Armstead called it ‘trash’, Trent Williams also admitted it will be on his mind and while the Giants are now talent poor, the 49ers will be playing too much on the backfoot to put up a huge amount of points. As a result, if I can get the Giants +6.5 (6/10 with William Hill), with the 49ers roster looking more like the 2018 4-12 version as opposed to the 2019 13-3 version, I am taking it.
New Nickname? Washington Defense
While on the subject of low scoring games, we come to the Washington Football Team with a steaming hot mess on offense and an excellent defense. The points lines in their game with the Browns is artificially inflated by the fact that the Browns have conceded 38 to the Ravens and 30 to the Bengals. I can’t see Dwayne Haskins scoring more than half that total. Meanwhile, the Washington defense is much closer to the Ravens defense which the Browns scored just six against than the Bengals one that gave up 35. Take the total Points under 46.5 (10/13 with 888 and Unibet)
Battle of the Sean’s
Sky Sports’ early live full game is Sean McVay’s Rams and Sean McDermott’s Buffalo Bills. The similarities between both 2-0 units are huge. However, beating the two best teams (on paper) in the NFC East is a rather more impressive feet than beating the two other AFC East teams not called the Patriots. This Rams defense looks a legitimate threat as a unit and McVay appears to have got his play-calling mojo back on the other side of the ball. The Rams (11/10 with various) look the better team, so getting them as the dogs in this game is very attractive.
Rushing all over Bill
Finally, this is quite possibly possibly the worst linebacking core that Bill Belichick has ever possessed. While I would find it very difficult to ever back against one of his sides, what I can do is see Jon Gruden run all over the linebacking core and with a true lead back, expect Josh Jacobs to be a lot of touches and a lot of yards and touchdowns too. A Josh Jacobs TD (10/11 with various) is a useful accumulator edition and the Jacobs 100 yards + TD special (4/1 with SkyBet) might be a useful bet too.
Accumulator: Josh Jacobs TD, Rams ML, Washington-Browns Under 46.5, Giants +6.5, Falcons, Bengals +5.5
