Thursday Night Football Week 3 Picks: Miami Dolphins @ Jacksonville Jaguars

After another successful Thursday Night Football in Week 2, Michael Norbury is back with his Week 3 picks as he preview the Jacksonville Jaguars clash with the Miami Dolphins.

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Defensive Problems

Thursday Night fFootball in Week 3 sees a matchup between two poor defensive units. The Dolphins were shredded on the ground in Week 1 by Cam Newton as he waltzed around their defense to take New England to a comfortable victory. Week 2 then brought the Bills and Josh Allen, he threw for a career best 417 yards, racking up four passing touchdowns along the way. They can’t stop the run, and they’re vulnerable through the air. Throw in the injury to Byron Jones and you have a Dolphins defense with serious issues.

Jacksonville’s defense hasn’t looked as desperate as Miami’s, but it’s there to be shot at. Week 1 saw them limit Indianapolis to just two touchdowns but that flatters the Jaguars, as Philip Rivers was able to lead the Colts up the field with ease, notching up 363 yards through the air but proving wasteful in the red zone. Tennessee were not as wasteful in Week 2, as Ryan Tannehill exposed the holes in the Jacksonville defense with four touchdowns.

Week 3 picks Thursday
Image credit: USA Today

Plenty of Ammo

Neither of these teams boasts a top-tier offense, but they have shown some promise, and they don’t have to be a Ravens or Chiefs to have some joy in this encounter. 

The Dolphins running game is non-existent, and stuffing the run is the Jaguars strongpoint, so there won’t be much joy on the ground for Miami. They do possess weapons in the receiving corps though and they can profit in this area. Tight end Mike Gesicki looks to follow up a monster display in Week 2 where he racked up 130 yards on eight receptions, and DeVante Parker has the ability to hurt Jacksonville’s secondary. 

The Jaguars offense, led by cult figure Gardner Minshew, has surprised a few people this season. Minshew has looked particularly good and he will be looking forward to facing a Byron Jonesless Dolphins defense, undrafted rookie running back James Robinson has shown real early promise and Jacksonville look to have unearthed a gem. They have more than enough to give Miami’s defense a hard time.

The Pick

This is a prime opportunity for both offenses to have a day out. The total points line is set at 47.5 and these two teams should combine to eclipse that. Take the 10/11 on Paddy Power.


Michael Norbury

NFL Betting Analyst