Week 13 NFL Player Prop Bets
By Adam Martin
Okay. It’s December, and with just six more Sundays of football remaining, the NFL is finally working out which teams are in the playoff hunt, and which teams are preparing for 2024. Week 13 delivers us an exciting slate of matchups, and there are plenty of intriguing markets out there to dabble with.
As always, these prop bets are for entertainment only, and please gamble responsibly. All the odds below are from our friends at 888 Sport:
INDIANAPOLIS COLTS @ TENNESSEE TITANS
Michael Pittman Over 6.5 Receptions @ 4/5
The Colts have surprised a lot of people this season and they are still in with a shout of making the playoffs. One of the biggest reasons for this is Michael Pittman coming back to form after a lacklustre season last year.
He has clearly become back-up QB Gardner Minshew’s number one target and that is even more obvious from the last four games. Pittman has hit the over every game over the last four weeks for the Colts, going 8,8,8 and 12 receptions respectively.
They are going up against a decent defense in the Titans this week but that won’t stop Pittman getting plenty of work. Tennessee don’t give up many touchdowns in the passing game, but they do give up yards and are currently ranked 19th in the league. 4/5 is short but this would be surprising if it didn’t hit.
DENVER BRONCOS @ HOUSTON TEXANS
Courtland Sutton Anytime TD @ 6/4
Russ ➡️ Courtland Sutton has been unstoppable
— PFF (@PFF) November 26, 2023
pic.twitter.com/vYN2NxhRVq
The Broncos had a terrible start to the season, going 1-5 over the first six weeks but things have changed now. Sean Payton seems to have got them all on side now and they have won their last five matchups, making them 6-5.
Also, that offense that was so bad last year seems to be working much better under Payton and one of the main beneficiaries of this is Courtland Sutton. This season he has scored eight touchdowns in the eleven games they have played which is a massive turnaround after a poor 2022.
This is a tough matchup as the Texans are decent against the pass. However, this is mainly due to teams being able to run on them relatively easily. 6/4 is a pretty nice price for a player who has scored so many touchdowns this season and so it’s worth taking.
Los Angeles Chargers @ New England Patriots
Rhamondre Stevenson Over 65.5 Rushing Yards @ 5/6
New England look a mess now, and it feels like a win is a long way away. They have already said they will be starting back-up Bailey Zappe in this game so it feels like the run game will be lent on heavily.
Stevenson is the main running back for the Patriots and has shown what he can do when he sees a lot of the ball. Over the last three weeks he has hit the over against this line and he should be doing it again today.
The Chargers are another team that have struggled all season and they have struggled to stop the run for a few years now. They are currently ranked 26th when it comes to giving up rushing touchdowns and they are just as bad when it comes to yardage. 5/6 isn’t the biggest price but this feels like it should come through.
Arizona Cardinals @ Pittsburgh Steelers
Jaylen Warren Anytime TD @ 10/11
Jaylen Warren: the most elusive RB in the NFL this season, per PFF ratings 🌀 pic.twitter.com/x2Mi0cspOV
— PFF PIT Steelers (@PFF_Steelers) December 1, 2023
This season it has normally paid off to avoid the Steelers offense. However, last week there was a big change as they looked more likely to create explosive plays. This can largely be put down to the firing of offensive co-ordinator, Matt Canada.
Warren has been good all season and has looked the better running back on the team. He is used in the passing game more than Najee Harris is, so he is a duel threat at the position. Due to that he is preferred over Harris who also showed he can do better, last week.
This is a nice matchup for the running backs of Pittsburgh as the Cardinals have struggled to stop the run all season. They are currently ranked 29th when it comes to giving up rushing touchdowns and don’t have much to play for sitting at 2-10. Take the slightly bigger price in Warren over Harris at 10/11.
Feature Image Credit: Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports
ADAM MARTIN
NFL Betting Analyst
Adam is part of the franchise tag podcast and regularly puts out fantasy and betting content. he contributes articles for BetVictor and has been part of the nfl uk community for multiple years. Find him on Twitter @AdamM_NFL