2019-12-13
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Week 14 saw the NFL ravaged by injuries, which has both a positive and negative effect on fantasy football. On the negative side, we lose studs, and that is not a good thing in season-long or dynasty leagues. However, in DFS, those injuries offer a chance to exploit new opportunities, usually at a cheap price. Sometimes it can be as simple as a pivot to the secondary option, but sometimes an injury can uncover a gem deeper down the depth chart. However, beware, because sometimes the sexy sleeper option actually be a trap ready to blow up in your face. I have tried to strike a balance with the DraftKings Week 15 lineup recommendations between exploiting those injury opportunities, and sticking to the tried and trusted options.
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In this article, you will find my DraftKings Week 15 picks on, which are based on matchups, situation, weather and betting lines. The focus of this piece will be looking at upside, and is, therefore, more suited for use in GPP formats. However, the names below can also double up as options in cash games, alongside some safer bets.
This is an interesting price for Garoppolo in this matchup. Last week he really demonstrated how good he can be in the shootout with New Orleans, and this week he gets a matchup with an Atlanta team allowing over 20 FPPG to the quarterback position. San Francisco cannot let up now, as they control their own destiny with regards to the division, bye weeks and home field advantage. I am expecting another big showing from this offense this week.
Now, this might be getting a little too funky. However, Blough has a superb matchup this week with a Tampa Bay defense allowing over 20 FPPG to quarterbacks. Last week was not pretty, but the Minnesota pass defense is nearly five fantasy points per game better against the position than the Buccaneers. If Blough can get you to 20 points at this price then you are laughing in GPP.
With Penny going down last week and Prosise fumbling a hand off, Carson should be the lead back against a Carolina team virtually ready to throw in the towel. They allowed Devonta Freeman to find the end zone for the first time this season last week, and are allowing nearly 20 FPPG to lead backs.
Kansas City have looked better against the run recently. However, they still rank 30th in the league and allow over 21 FPPG to lead backs. The last few weeks have also not been overly pretty for Lindsay in terms of outcome, but promisingly the opportunity has been there. Denver need to control the clock this week if they are going to have a chance to win, and Lindsay is their best chance of doing that.
Given the timeshare Jones has been in, this is a gamble. However, Detroit really struggles against the run, allowing nearly 20 FPPG to lead backs, and over 30 per game to the position in total. With Jameis Winston nursing a hand injury it would not be surprising to see Tampa Bay run a little more than usual in this one. If Jones sees the bulk of the carries he has a realistic shot at 20 fantasy points.
Golladay is the only show in town against one of the worst pass defenses in the league. That may mean he sees double or even triple coverage on some plays, but there will be opportunities for Golladay and Detroit to exploit against a defense allowing over 23 FPPG to lead receivers.
This seems a ridiculous price for a receiver of Allen’s quality, who has been quietly going about his business this season. Allen has a wonderful floor, and always has the potential to get into the 20-point range if he can break some tackles or find the end zone.
Slayton has been very much a boom-or-bust fantasy option this season. Last week he had a huge first half with Eli Manning, before Philadelphia focused on shutting him down. This week he gets a matchup with a Miami team allowing over 21 FPPG to lead receivers, and 41 FPPG to the position as a whole.
This is a gamble on the great matchup on offer for Njoku. I am not sure how much the Browns will want to expose him fresh off his return, but if the do the rewards could be huge. Arizona are allowing over 20 FPPG to the tight end position, and have been torched by numerous tight ends, good or bad, this season.
Are we seeing Higbee break out? He has certainly taken advantage of two cupcake matchups against Arizona and Seattle. This week things get a little bit tougher, but Dallas are still allowing over 12 FPPG to the tight end position this season. At this price, give me the 12 points and I will be more than happy.
Andy Dalton and Zac Taylor against the best defense in the league, coached by Bill Belichick. Enough said.
Disclaimer: I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is brolfe1507) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.
Head of NFL Content
BEN IS THE HEAD OF NFL CONTENT FOR THE TOUCHDOWN. YOU CAN ALSO FIND HIS WORK AT; Oddschecker US, PRO FOOTBALL NETWORK & ROTOBALLER. FOLLOW BEN @BENROLFE15 ON TWITTER.
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