DraftKings Week 13 Lineup Recommendations
Three games on Thanksgiving mean that despite there being no byes this week, we still have just 11 games on the DraftKings Week 13 featured slate. Among those 11 games we have the usual mix when it comes to projected totals. Two games have a projected total below 40. Another three games fall in the 40 to 45 bracket. Five games fall between 45 and 50, with a single game over the 50-point mark. As we head towards the final stretch of the season we have all the knowledge, so now let’s put it to good use and make some real profit.
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In this article, you will find my DraftKings Week 13 picks on, which are based on matchups, situation, weather and betting lines. The focus of this piece will be looking at upside, and is, therefore, more suited for use in GPP formats. However, the names below can also double up as options in cash games, alongside some safer bets.
Aaron Rodgers, GB @ NYG | $6,500
This is a get right week for Arron Rodgers and Green Bay. Having put up three-straight dreadful performances, Rodgers desperately needs to get back to the form he showed against Kansas City and Oakland. What those two teams have in common with his opponent this week, is that both have defensive issues. New York are allowing 22 FPPG to quarterbacks this season, and if Rodgers gets rolling that could easily look like a very low total compared to what he can return.
Sam Darnold, NYJ @ CIN | $6,100
Now this is the quarterback that New York thought they were getting when they took Darnold last year. In his last three games, he has seven passing touchdowns, two rushing touchdowns and an average of around 26 fantasy points. The Cincinnati defense has had issues all season, and Darnold should be able to exploit them this week.
Josh Jacobs, OAK @ KC | $6,900
If you can find a way to get Christian McCaffrey then absolutely, but $10,500 is a huge chunk to pay. There are no great options immediately cheaper, but Jacobs at $6,900 offers realyl nice value. Kansas City has been absolutely steamrolled by opposing running games at times this year, allowing an average of 23 FPPG to lead backs. Jacobs constant niggling injuries worry me massively, but if he s healthy enough to take the field Sunday I want to be starting him.
Miles Sanders, PHI @ MIA | $5,400
There are not many easier matchups right now for running backs than Miami. Sanders has managed to reach double-digits in two of the last three weeks, despite averaging just 11 carries. Week 13 offers a get right opportunity for Philadelphia, and Sanders should be a major part of that.
Chris Thompson, WSH @ CAR | $3,700
Thompson is set to return to the field for the first time since Week 6. Prior to getting banged up he was off to a solid start this season, averaging 12 FPPG through the first four weeks. Carolina are allowing an average of 28 fantasy points to running backs this season, and Thompson should see a fair share of passing game work if he is on the field this week.
Davante Adams, GB @ NYG | $7,000
Let’s not overthink this. It has not been the dream season for Adams, but this matchup should be a cracker for him. New York are allowing 21 FPPG against lead receivers this year. He has seen an average of 11 targets per game since returning from injury. In those three games he has scored 11.1, 21.8 and 19.3 points on DraftKings. This week feels like the week he gets over the 30-point mark for the second time of the season, having broken his end-zone duck last week.
A.J. Brown, TEN @ IND | $5,300
The way Ryan Tannehill is playing right now makes me want a piece of that Tennessee offense. Brown had a huge day on five targets last week. The last three weeks he has seen 16 targets, returning double-digits in two of the weeks. With Indianapolis likely to be focusing on the run, and having been smoked by two pass catchers last week, give me Brown to break out at this price.
Auden Tate, CIN vs. NYJ | $3,800
Value does not get much better than this. All of Tate’s double-digit performances came with Andy Dalton throwing the ball, and this week the Bengals offense is going to be desperate to try and get a win. Tate could be set to find the end zone for the second time this season, and get a fifth double-digit week. Do those things and fantasy owners can be extremely happy.
Darren Waller, OAK @ KC | $5,500
It has been a rough stretch for Waller, but he has been seeing plenty of targets and he had 12.3 fantasy points in the first meeting between these two teams this season. Kansas City are also allowing 14 FPPG to the tight end position this season, which would be a nice return from Waller here.
Greg Olsen, CAR vs. WAS | $4,400
Olsen is a consideration every week for my DFS lineups. In the last four games he has seen an average of seven targets per game, scoring double-digits in two games. It is not the sexiest option, but it is a solid price for a player that should have a safe floor, but retains some upside.
Baltimore vs. San Francisco | $2,800
Let’s get bold here shall we? The Baltimore defense has been a best recently, scoring double-digits in all of their last five games. That includes games against Tom Brady, Russell Wilson and Deshaun Watson. San Francisco are travelling across the country, playing in the less than ideal 1 pm East Coast window, and are coming off a massive statement win in the NFC last week. I just have this feeling that Baltimore are going to improve their stock in the NFL world even further this week with another dominant defensive performance.
Disclaimer: I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is brolfe1507) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.
Image credit: USA Today