CFB: Notre Dame Fighting Irish Week 3 Preview
By Stiofán Mac Fhilib
In what has been a tumultous week for the Notre Dame Fighting Irish faithful, our Stiofán Mac Fhilib will guide you through the fallout from last Saturday and get you ready for a bounceback from the Irish!
Looking Back at Last Week
Notre Dame starting pretty flat, usually at home, in games against G5 opposition the week after an emotionally draining win in a big game is nothing new. Repeatedly stalling on offense, giving up big plays on defense, and making mistakes on special teams is a recipe for keeping any underdog opponent in a game.
However, being unable to avert the continued slide in the second half is a recipe for the kind of disaster the Irish suffered against Northern Illinois last Saturday afternoon. And worse for Head Coach Marcus Freeman, it wasn’t the first such failure in the season’s opening home game.
His predecessor built his reputation around ‘winning the games you’re supposed to win’, a hallmark of the second half of his tenure in South Bend, but often could not get his team over the line in the biggest games. Freeman has managed the latter, but his inability to manage the more mundane challenges may cast a longer-term shadow over his time at Notre Dame.
All credit, however, to the Northern Illinois Huskies and their HC, Thomas Hammock. The better team on the day won, and they outgained the Irish, on the ground and through the air, won the time of possession battle, and forced ND into two blocked Field Goals and two interceptions. RB Antario Brown had the game of his career on national television. 225 yards from scrimmage including an 83-yard TD pass, and 5 YPC as a very effective runner.
Notre Dame’s defense too often looked soft against the run, but it tightened up significantly in the second half and repeatedly got the Huskies off the field. As in the home defeats to Marshall and Stanford in Freeman’s first season, it was the offense that ultimately let the team down when needed most.
QB Riley Leonard picked up an injury in the first half, that wasn’t disclosed until after the game, and which hampered OC Mike Denbrock in running the full playbook. His decision, on 2nd and 1 inside the final six minutes, to eschew a Jeremiyah Love run and ask a QB, whose longest pass of the season to date is 20 yards, to throw deep, is obviously the most debated moment in the game. Leonard though had two other teammates wide open and that was not the only such occasion during the 60 minutes.
All in all, it was a very poor day at the office, and one that raises a host of questions that the Irish coaching staff will have to answer very quickly. They will have to start by defining what they expect from the quarterback position and who is best placed to deliver that.
The Week Ahead
Purdue Boliermakers (Ross-Ade Stadium, West Lafayette, IN); 3.30pm EST; 8.30pm IST/BST
The Irish face their second road game in three weeks as they travel a few hours south to take on long-time, in-state rivals, Purdue. Notre Dame leads the series 57-26-2 all-time as they head into the teams’ first meeting since a 27-13 win for the Irish at home in 2021.
Boilermakers’ Head Coach, Ryan Walters, enters his second season on the back of a 4-8 record in 2023, with two wins in their final three games. They scheduled a bye week in advance of ND’s visit, having eased to a 49-0 victory over FCS Indiana State on the opening weekend.
Their OC is Graham Harrell, so Irish fans can expect to see plenty of spread-out air raid sets for QB Hudson Card, the transfer from Texas. In this transfer portal era, most of their primary receivers are transfers, while leading RB Devin Mockobee will look to take advantage of empty boxes in their run game.
Defensively, Purdue will adopt a similar approach to ND: frequent blitzing and leaving their CBs on islands. Given how Riley Leonard has performed this season, this should prove to be a very interesting afternoon for Irish fans. Should Leonard’s ability to run be constrained at all, ND will need the very big plays that have proved elusive this season.
Irish fans watched Leonard frequently not read wide-open receivers against NIU as ND failed to register a passing TD for the second straight week, leaving them one of only five teams at the FBS level with zero for the season to date.
Some fans are already wondering how backup Steve Angeli might fare, though the Irish coaching staff have eschewed any suggestions that Leonard is on a short leash. Publicly, that is the correct approach. Privately, they surely know that the remainder of Notre Dame’s season is hanging on the ability of whoever is QB1 to deliver a sizeable improvement in quarterback play. A fascinating afternoon awaits.
Game Prediction
Notre Dame 27-20 Purdue
Another week where the Irish fail to cover the spread but do enough, just, to get over the line. ND fans finally see a TD pass but ultimately rely on Jeremiyah Love to overcome their local rivals.
Where to Watch
No live coverage in Ireland and Britain
CBS/Paramount+ (in the USA)
Playoff Picture
As CFB fans continue to come to terms with the notion that a defeat is not the end of many teams’ playoff ambitions, Notre Dame fans certainly had a rude and uncomfortable awakening last week.
The #5 seed is now a pipe dream until 2025 at the earliest and even a home game at all is questionable. The Irish schedule likely will require ND to finish 11-1 to make the cut and based on the performance against the Huskies, worrying about where the next, i.e. first, passing TD will come from is a higher priority right now than dreaming of winning out from here.
The biggest winners of week 2 were the Texas Longhorns with their impressive demolition of the Wolverines. Michigan may be weaker following the loss of so many of their stars to the draft, but a road win at the national champions* never hurt anyone’s resumé.
Week 3 has a quieter out-of-conference schedule for the top-ranked teams, with the main contenders simply aiming to avoid defeat before they head into the meat of their conference schedules.
STIOFÁN MAC FHILIB
COLLEGE FOOTBALL ANALYST
A VERY LONG-DISTANCE SUBWAY ALUMNUS OF NOTRE DAME, COUNTY ANTRIM-BASED STIOFÁN HAS BEEN A FAN OF THE FIGHTING IRISH SINCE 2000. FOLLOW HIM ON TWITTER @SMACFHILIB.