CFB: Notre Dame Fighting Irish Week 13 Preview

By Stiofán Mac Fhilib

Yankee Stadium will play host to the Notre Dame Fighting Irish as they take on the Army Black Knights this week. Despite the Army’s unbeaten record, it’s difficult to see them causing the upset in this one; our Stiofán Mac Fhilib looks back at the Virginia victory and keys to this week’s showdown.

Looking Back at Last Week

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Notre Dame capped off a successful Senior Day with a 35-14 victory over Virginia that was both more comfortable than even the 21-point winning-margin suggested and yet felt way too sloppy in execution much of the time. Which perhaps is a sign that the Irish really are a good team playing well at the moment. 

Notre Dame graduate, Chris Tyree, is best known to Irish fans for his electric 97-yard kick-off return for ND against Wisconsin at Soldier Field several years back. Unfortunately for him last week, his most notable play for his new team was muffing the opening kick-off as it hung up in the swirling South Bend wind. The Irish recovered and converted the short drive into seven points. 

Notre Dame punted on each of its next four possessions and the best that can be said of that episode in the game is that Aussie, James Rendell, had his best day in an Irish jersey, averaging 47.6 yards, with a longest punt of 64. 

As seems to inexorably happen now though, the Irish defense slowly tightened its grip on the game, eventually suffocating the opponent into submission. First a second quarter fumble recovery was turned into ND’s second TD of the afternoon. Then the Cavaliers QB threw three INTs before half-time, leading to a pair of Irish TDs and a missed FG, all on short fields. 

We also had the dubious pleasure of seeing one of the greatest ND special teams plays of my lifetime called back for the most dubious of technical (mis)interpretations of the rule book. It didn’t quite have the same consequences as the notorious phantom block in the back during Rocket’s last-minute punt return against Colorado in the Orange Bowl in ’91, but it was hugely frustrating, after an epic fumblerooski play that saw Jordan Faison nearly break the poor punt returner’s ankles on his way to the end zone. 

Leonard threw only his fourth INT of the season to start the second half, but on the next Notre Dame drive, Jeremiyah Love provided a timely reminder of his big play ability by taking a handoff and running 76 yards for the score and a 35-0 Irish lead. Love has now scored a TD in every one of ND’s ten games so far. 

Virginia immediately answered with a TD drive and added another in the final seconds of the fourth quarter, against the Irish backups and walk ons on defense, courtesy of a time out inside the final 30 seconds. 

For an afternoon where Notre Dame uncharacteristically turned the ball over twice and could only convert once on 13 third downs, most of which were eight or more yards to go, it was still a day where Leonard threw for over 200 yards and 3 TDs, and the Irish rushed for over 230 yards at 6.2 yards per carry. More than enough to get the job done against a 5-5 Virginia team, but more offensive consistency will be required to overcome the final two regular season opponents, never mind the bigger challenges that could lie further ahead in the playoffs.

The Week Ahead

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Army Black Knights (Yankee Stadium, New York City, NY); 7.00pm EST; 12.00am GMT

One hundred years after the Four Horsemen of Notre Dame ensured that an “Army team was swept over the precipice at the Polo Grounds” in New York City, the Fighting Irish and the US Military Academy at West Point will once again lock horns in the Big Apple, this time in the revamped Yankee Stadium. ND lead the series 39-8-4, with a 15-5-3 record in Yankee Stadium, including the legendary 0-0 tie in the 1946 ‘Game of the Century’. 

The Irish will take the field in the Bronx in special uniforms to commemorate the centenary and will hope to emulate that 1924 outcome when Notre Dame prevailed 13-7. Playoff aspirations are on the line for both teams as a loss would likely end hopes of playing on the third weekend in December. Though Army will, of course, be playing on the first two, with an AAC Championship Game and then the annual clash with Navy to look forward to. 

The Black Knights enter the game with a 9-0 record but a sense that they have only really had one challenging game, their last outing at North Texas. That saw them trail for the first time this season, courtesy of an early Mean Green FG, but the deficit lasted less than six minutes, en route to a 14-3 Army victory.

The cadets had scores over 40 points per game in their four previous outings, so their offensive struggles against the best defense they’ve faced should give Al Golden some hope and a few pointers. Their own defense has impressed as well – they’ve only allowed more than 14 points once so far.

On offense they will run and run and likely run again, and very rarely for negative yardage. They are second in time of possession, last in pace of play and will regularly go for it on fourth down, usually successfully: they’re 16 of 19 this season.

Everything runs through QB, Bryson Daily. He’s already rushed for over 1,000 yards and has 7 TD passes on just 51 attempts. Against their best opponent last week, he had a season high 36 rushes but at his lowest average for the year. The key, as always, in defending the option is to hit the QB early and often, ideally on virtually every play.

It’s been noticeable this season how often opposing players have been slow to get up after plays. Al Golden’s unit will be the biggest and most physical that Daily has faced in 2024. If he runs for 36 times again this week, I hope he has a long and much needed Radox bath planned for Sunday morning!

The Black Knights are not a one-man offense, however.  RB, Kanye Udoh, has over 850 yards at a very healthy 6.7 yards a time, and his colleague at the position, Noah Short, is a threat in both the run and pass games. He and WR, Casey Reynolds, both have three passing TDs this season, and longest plays of over 50+ yards each. Reynolds, like his ND counterpart, Jordan Faison, also plays for this school’s lacrosse team. 

On defense they are very much in the bend but don’t break mould and excel inside the red zone. In a game with fewer possessions than usual, the Irish cannot afford to settle for many FGs. Army will likely adopt the sensible strategy of most ND opponents and load the box to try to force Leonard to pass more often than Mike Denbrock would plan for or like, but they are susceptible in the pass game. 

This week would therefore be an excellent time for Collins and Faison to stop dropping passes, and for Greathouse and Mitchell to continue to form a greater part of the Notre Dame passing attack. Scoring early and often, and taking a two-score lead, is key to throwing Army out of their rhythm and game plan. Eschewing TD opportunities in a limited possession game on the other hand will make for a very nervous evening for the legions of subway alumni who will make their way to the Bronx to witness one of college football’s most storied rivalries.

Game Prediction

Notre Dame 31-21 Army

I can foresee Army running the ball just well enough to limit a boom-and-bust ND offense to fewer possessions than usual. The Irish defense, however, will force enough turnovers, often on downs, to allow Notre Dame to secure an essential, if not always comfortable, victory. And an indirect benefit of the smaller margin of victory may be that the Black Knights remain ranked.

Where to Watch

Sky Sports NFL (Channel 408 on Sky); coverage starts at 12.00am GMT

NBC (in the USA)

Playoff Picture

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Defeats for BYU and Tennessee allowed Notre Dame to rise to #6 in the playoff committee’s latest round of rankings. This is an important milestone for the Irish as it is likely the lowest spot from which they could realistically secure a home game in the first round. And that they were kept ahead of the bunch of two-loss SEC teams right on their tail suggests that they have a good chance of at least maintaining that position as long as they keep winning well. 

This week will see more intrigue and change at the very top as unbeaten Indiana face by far their biggest challenge of the season when they travel to the Horseshoe to take on Ohio State. Some of ND’s main rivals have tricky road games to negotiate as well. Alabama should have enough to prevail at Oklahoma, but Minnesota’s stingy defense will test the visiting Penn State side, and a healthy DJ Lagway could help Florida ask questions of Ole Miss. 

On the flip side, Irish fans will be cheering on Texas A&M at Auburn, Louisville at home to Pittsburgh, Virginia as they host SMU and USC in their cross-city derby game with UCLA.

STIOFÁN MAC FHILIB

COLLEGE FOOTBALL ANALYST

A VERY LONG-DISTANCE SUBWAY ALUMNUS OF NOTRE DAME, COUNTY ANTRIM-BASED STIOFÁN HAS BEEN A FAN OF THE FIGHTING IRISH SINCE 2000. FOLLOW HIM ON TWITTER @SMACFHILIB.

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