CFB: NOTRE DAME FIGHTING IRISH WEEK 1 PREVIEW

By Stiofán Mac Fhilib

It’s been seven long months since Notre Dame forlornly trooped off the field at Mercedes-Benz Stadium down in Atlanta following their unsuccessful second half comeback against National Champions, Ohio State. 

The wait, however, will soon be over for Irish fans. A season full of optimism and hope is almost upon us. And what better way to start than the renewal of a once bitter and heated rivalry. Catholics v Convicts. Notre Dame @ Miami in prime time on Labor Day Weekend Sunday night in a game that will have significant playoff implications for both.

Looking back at last week

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Last weekend was one of the highlights of the college football calendar for fans on this side of the pond: the Aer Lingus College Football Classic, featuring Farmageddon between Iowa State and Kansas State. But for Notre Dame, ‘last week’ was that 34-23 loss to Ohio State on January 20th. It was a game that the Irish started and finished well, but the 31 Buckeye points in between were enough to secure their first Natty since 2014. 

Notre Dame lost some key players to the NFL draft, especially on defense. CB, Ben Morrison (2nd round), S, Xavier Watts (3rd), LB, Jack Kiser (4th), DT, Rylie Mills (5th), TE, Mitchell Evans (5th) and QB, Riley Leonard (6th) all heard their names called. DT, Howard Cross III was an UDFA who made the Bengals’ 53-man roster.

It speaks to the quality of recruitment and player development by Marcus Freeman and his staff, that the 2025 roster may still be his best yet, and the best the program has seen since Lou Holtz last roamed the ND sideline.

The week ahead

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@#10 Miami FL Hurricanes (Hard Rock Stadium, Miami, FL); 7.30pm EST; 12.30am IST/BST

Once upon a time, in the ’60s and ’70s to be a little more precise, Miami FL was the ‘Stanford’ on Notre Dame’s schedule. A private school with a much better academic reputation than football program. It provided the Irish with a warm weather destination for the final week of the regular season in odd-numbered years where ND weren’t playing out at Southern Cal. The Hurricanes provided the weather – not in hurricane season, thankfully – and Notre Dame would collect a W.  11 in a row in fact between 1967 and 1980. 

Then Howard Schnellenberger came along. Followed by Lou Holtz’s old pal, Jimmy Johnson. Those 11 straight wins by 1980 are a big reason why ND lead the series 18-8-1 all-time.  Those two UM coaches, however, are a major factor in why the Irish have lost each of their last six visits to the Hurricanes. 

The 1985-1990 era was both the apex and nadir of the nascent rivalry. The apex of the importance of the game – the winners thrice went on to be crowned national champions – and the nadir of behaviour both on and off the field. The legendary 1988 game is captured in the ESPN 30 for 30 documentary about the most famous t-shirt in college football history, ‘Catholics v Convicts’. The actions of home fans in the 1989 game at the old Orange Bowl is a major reason why the series was discontinued after 1990. 

Notre Dame’s scheduling arrangement with the ACC resurrected the fixture, though this will be only the third time the two teams have met in the last decade. Two of the last three encounters have been blowouts – 41-3 ND in Chicago in 2012, and 41-8 Miami FL in the most recent game in 2017. I suspect this time things will be a whole lot closer. 

Irish fans view their OL and RBs as a strength but will be keen to see how QB, CJ Carr, does in his first ever game under centre. And by how much the transfer receivers can improve ND’s WR room. And Miami FL fans will have very similar thoughts on their own offense. 

RT, Francis Mauigoa, has 1st round draft potential, though at 6’6 and 325 lbs he is three inches shorter and 15 pounds lighter than his LT teammate, Markel Bell.  With former Alabama and TCU transfer, James Brockermeyer at Centre, the Hurricanes OL should be the best one Notre Dame faces in the regular season. Mark Fletcher and Jordan Lyle are a dangerous RB combo, and TE, Elijah Lofton is one of the top returning Miami FL pass-catchers from 2024. 

The Hurricanes lost most of their top WR production and will hope to replace that successfully with transfers from LSU, BYU and FAU. But as with the Irish, their offensive output this year will primarily come down to how well their new QB does in his first (and last) year with his new teammates. 

Carson Beck was one of the more highly sought after transfer QBs in last Winter’s market, and certainly one of the most expensive ones. After losing Cam Ward to the first pick in the NFL draft, Head Coach, Mario Cristobal acted quickly to try to ensure a repeat of last year’s #1 offense in CFB. 

Beck is excellent when not pressured. If the Hurricanes can run effectively on ND, and give Beck time to throw, then it will be a long evening for Freeman and co. Irish fans, however, will appreciate the similarity of Beck’s situation to Riley Leonard’s a year ago. 

The now third-string QB on the Indianapolis Colts roster also missed all of Spring Camp due to injury and was unable to throw and build chemistry with his new receivers until Summer and Fall Camp. This undoubtedly hindered Leonard’s early season passing form, and ND fans would not be unhappy if Beck were to encounter comparable growing pains. 

Defensively it is very hard to know what to expect from the ‘Canes. Other than they surely can’t be any worse than last year. New DC, Corey Heatherman, had an impressive 2024 campaign in Minnesota. He will have a lot of transfers to work with as he tries to improve a Miami FL defense that allowed over 30 points per game against P4 opposition last season.

They certainly have talent, especially on the Edge and at CB. DE, Reuben Bain was an ACC Rookie of the year in 2023. At the same position, Akheem Mesidor was a freshman All-American at WVU. And former Irish recruit, DT, Justin Scott from Chicago, will surely have a point to prove. 

Kicking is another area where both teams have similar outlooks: in other words, neither are sure what to expect.  Miami FL lost their 2024 Kicker to the NFL draft; in Fall Camp, Texas transfer, Bert Auburn, has been inconsistent and challenged by FAU transfer and KO specialist, Carter Davis. With the Hurricanes HC reluctant to issue a depth chart ahead of the opening game, we shall have to wait and see who they roll out for FGs.

Game Prediction

Notre Dame 24-20 Miami FL

It will neither be pretty, nor high scoring, but one of the head coaches in this game is 1-6 against Top 25 opponents (the 1 being a victory over a #23 Texas A&M team that finished the season 7-6). And the other is Marcus Freeman – 14-5 against ranked opponents. 

CJ Carr will be well managed by Mike Denbrock but show enough to justify his selection, and to lead the Irish to victory in a game that is close right to the end.

Where to watch:

DAZN (coverage starts at 12.30am IST/BST) 

ABC (in the USA)

Playoff Picture

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The days of a team’s season effectively being ended by a week 1 loss are over in this 12-team playoff era. But while a key loss doesn’t derail your hopes entirely, an important win over a highly ranked opponent can be the launch pad for a playoff berth. 

This season we get to feast on three top 10 Week 1 matchups. In addition to #6 Notre Dame @ #10 Miami FL, Saturday kicks off with #1 Texas @ #3 Ohio State before finishing with #9 LSU @ #4 Clemson. The winners of those three games ought to be #1-#3 in the polls the following week and will have a huge boost to their résumé come the playoff committee deliberations in November and December.

STIOFÁN MAC FHILIB

COLLEGE FOOTBALL ANALYST

A VERY LONG-DISTANCE SUBWAY ALUMNUS OF NOTRE DAME, COUNTY ANTRIM-BASED STIOFÁN HAS BEEN A FAN OF THE FIGHTING IRISH SINCE 2000. FOLLOW HIM ON TWITTER @SMACFHILIB.

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