CFB: Notre Dame Fighting Irish Week 7 PrevieW
By Stiofán Mac Fhilib
After finally making it to over .500 for the first time in the 2025 season with a comfortable 28-7 home win over Boise State, Notre Dame will now aim to make it to 4-2 by beating a team already at that mark, NC State.
Looking Back at Last Week
After running up 56 points in two consecutive weeks, the Notre Dame offense came back to earth a little against Boise State on an afternoon when they needed the defense to step up and shoulder a lot more of the game-winning burden. Love and Price both ran for a TD, while CJ Carr threw for another pair as the Irish put up almost 400 yards of total offense.
But between a wildcat run from the one-yard line that never stood a chance, and Carr overthrowing a wide-open Pauling at the goal line, ND passed up two straightforward TD opportunities on a pair of fourth downs. A 42-7 final score may have better reflected Notre Dame’s ability to move the ball down the field, but the record books will only show the 28 they actually put on the board.
The Irish defense, after a disconcerting start to the season – conceding 91 points in the first ten quarters of football – has now given up just 27 points in its last ten quarters. Last week was the closest it has looked to the much more dominating unit of last year, perhaps in no small part due to the return of both Leonard Moore and Devonta Smith in the secondary.
It held the Broncos to punts on their first three drives. Then, when Maddux Madsen finally ran into the end zone on a naked bootleg around left end from the one-yard line with 4:03 remaining in the first half to give them a 7-6 lead, their response was to end four of Boise’s final six possessions with an interception, and another with a turnover on downs.
We can assume that the Broncos perhaps felt Moore wasn’t fully fit and was ripe for being targeted. On behalf of Notre Dame fans all around the world, can I take a moment to encourage the QBs and OCs of future ND opponents this season to do likewise?
The Irish gave up only 100 yards rushing, on 34 carries, and allowed just 5.8 yards per passing attempt, against a team that had been averaging 49 points a game since its opening week loss at South Florida.
They will undoubtedly face a pair of tougher tests in their next two outings, but as the new DC, Chris Ash, starts to get a better feel for matching his players to what he’d like to run, they are beginning to look a lot more like their 2024 selves. If they can get to even 75% of those levels by late November, then this offense could make them a very dangerous and unwanted opponent after Christmas.
One thing fans won’t want to see repeated, though, is the sight of this officiating crew. Both teams had 112 yards of penalties, ND for 11 yellow flags and Boise for 13. Some appeared particularly egregious, and they managed to unite both fan bases in disgust at their performance, earning boos from everyone as they were heckled off the field.
The Week Ahead
NC State Wolfpack (Notre Dame Stadium); 3.30pm EDT; 8.30pm IST/BST
After consecutive weeks of facing a new opponent for the very first time, Notre Dame remains in South Bend to face a slightly more familiar foe in NC State. The two schools have only met on four previous occasions; the Wolfpack won the first two, the Irish the last two.
It is a fixture with a history of weather disruption. Two years ago, ND had a comfortable 45-24 win on a day that saw a two-hour weather delay, most notable for Audric Estimé running for an 80-yard TD on the first play after the delay, and after his famous hot dog.
And, of course, in 2016, on Notre Dame’s first visit to Raleigh, there was also a lightning delay, on a day where Brian Kelly called 30 passes in a game played, quite literally, in a hurricane (Matthew). He then threw his center, Sam Mustipher, under the bus, in one of the more shameful episodes of his time at Notre Dame. Thankfully, the forecast for Saturday is for zero precipitation and benign conditions, which should favour the more talented Irish.
The Wolfpack have a very dangerous offense and a vulnerable defense, not entirely dissimilar to the Arkansas team ND defeated a fortnight ago. They began the season well, handing Virginia their only loss to date, and winning at Wake Forest to go 3-0. But defeats at Duke and to Virginia Tech have seen them fall to 4-2, with four currently ranked opponents still to come.
True sophomore QB, CJ Bailey, impressed as a freshman and has already thrown for over 1,600 yards, 13 TDs and 4 INTs this season. Their backfield is led by the fantastically named Hollywood Smothers, who combines breakaway speed with excellent vision, and is a threat both as a runner and a pass catcher. Ohio State transfer Noah Rogers is their leading returning WR and is a threat with his speed.
If Bailey has time to throw deep, then the Irish secondary will be tested, especially with Nickel Devonta Smith out injured again. That, however, may be more easily said than done, given the ability of the Wolfpack OL. LT, Jacarrius Peak, is the strength of the position, but the rest of the line is not at his level, and the RG is a true freshman, which could be music to the ears of the Irish DTs.
Notre Dame has been better against the run than the pass so far this season. If they can keep Smothers in check and pressure Bailey in obvious passing situations, then they should be well-placed to continue their current run of improving good form.
The NC State defense has been hit by early-season injuries, especially in the middle of the unit. So, while their relative strengths lie at Edge and CB, they are not in a great position to deal with the Irish run game, especially between the Tackles. Jaden Greathouse remains out for ND with a leg injury, so Will Pauling in the Slot can expect to be used liberally. Getting the RBs involved in the passing game will also exploit a weakness in the Wolfpack’s back seven.
Notre Dame expects K, Noah Burnette, to return, and it will be vital for him to get a run of full fitness with bigger games ahead. NC State have their own issues at the position, not to mention a kickoff specialist who allows several returns per game. Jadarian Price’s ears ought to prick up at that.
Game Prediction
NOTRE DAME 35-17 NC STATE
Jeremiyah Love will have another 100-yard day on the ground, with the Irish RBs combining for over 200 yards of total offense, as Notre Dame exploit the Wolfpack’s defensive frailties to join them on four wins. The ND defense will keep Smothers in check and win the turnover battle to ensure a stress-free fourth quarter for Irish fans.
Where to Watch
Sky Sports NFL (Channel 412 on Sky) coverage starts at 8.30pm IST/BST
Peacock (in the USA)
Playoff Picture
Outside of Notre Dame’s own games, there are three factors beyond their control that will have a significant influence on whether a 10-2 Irish team makes the 12-team playoff: how the two teams ND lost to perform; how the ten teams they have to beat perform; and how the other potential playoff contenders get on. Every week will thus have plenty of results for Irish fans to follow beyond their own.
Miami moved to 5-0 ahead of their bye week with a crucial win over FSU. Texas A&M had their bye ahead of a home matchup with struggling Florida this week. ND fans need both teams to keep winning.
USC also had a bye before they take on Michigan at the Coliseum on Saturday, while Navy needed a late FG to edge a three-point win over Air Force. The Middies travel to Temple this week, and as the two teams best placed to have a shot at being ranked in early December, ND fans need to cheer on both USC and Navy every week, games against the Irish aside.
As for the other contenders, it would suit Notre Dame best for the Big Ten and SEC to have at most three teams head and shoulders clear of the rest, with zero or one loss, and as many other contenders as possible to have at least two or preferably three losses. Assuming Ohio State is one, Oregon beating Indiana this week suits the Irish (and ideally Penn State losing to Ohio State and then beating Indiana in due course).
In the SEC, it’s harder to call. Currently, there are nine teams with zero or one loss. Obviously, conference games will help whittle down the number of two- or fewer-loss schools. This week, Irish fans can cheer for upsets for Texas, Arkansas, Auburn and South Carolina as a good start.

STIOFÁN MAC FHILIB
COLLEGE FOOTBALL ANALYST
A VERY LONG-DISTANCE SUBWAY ALUMNUS OF NOTRE DAME, COUNTY ANTRIM-BASED STIOFÁN HAS BEEN A FAN OF THE FIGHTING IRISH SINCE 2000. FOLLOW HIM ON TWITTER @SMACFHILIB.