WEEK 15 NFL REDZONE PICKS
Just three weeks to go and Steve Moore breaks down the betting angles for the early games in week fifteen as teams jostle to make the play-offs.
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Run Monty Run
David Montgomery’s last three games have resulted in two hundred-yard stat lines with an 80-yard performance in between. The Bears’ only hope of running the table to go 9-7 and maybe sneak the seven-seed is behind David Montgomery…
The Vikings need to run the table to do the same thing and as a result this one should be close, if it is, Monty will go way over 62.5 yards rushing (5/6 with Bet365).
Dallas Delight
The Dallas Cowboys (7/5 with various) are bottom of the NFC East, with a record a game worse than the opposing 49ers. However, off the back of beating the Bengals, with the Eagles and Giants to come, they know that they could conceivably go on a four game win streak to go 7-9.
If they do so, A Dwayne Haskins-led Washington could easily go 0-3 against the Seahawks, Panthers and Eagles, potentially allowing the Cowboys to backdoor their way into the play-offs. The Cowboys with Dalton, needing the win more, should be favourites against this discombobulated 9ers outfit. So to be odds-against is crazy.
Protect Lamar
The Ravens should go 11-5, with the Jaguars, Giants and Bengals left on the schedule. Frankly, the Ravens may start gamecalling to ensure the safety of their players in all three of their remaining games, and that starts with Lamar.
Once they are out of sight I expect to see Lamar not run with the ball at all in these three fixtures, so expect him to run for less than the 10.5 attempts (5/6 with Bet365). That is the current line, probably in all three remaining matches.
Watson Fury
Whilst the Texans’ ship falls apart around him, DeShaun Watson continues to put on a passing clinic most weeks even in losing causes. He did struggle against the Bears last week but all that has done is drop his passing yards line for this weeks clash with the Colts down to Over 270.5 yards (9/10 with 888 and Unibet). That is well below the 341 yards he put up on the Colts just a fortnight ago.
TIPS REVIEW:
Accumulator: David Montgomery Over 62.5 yards, Dallas Cowboys, Lamar Jackson Under 10.5 rush attempts, Deshaun Watson over 270.5 passing yards
Steve Moore
NFL BETTING ANALYST
A Welshman exiled in Luton, Steve Moore has been a Buccaneers fan ever since he thought a stadium with a pirate ship was cool (he was only 9 at the time!).
Steve has also hosted podcasts on both the NFL and British Universities football and was the statistician for 2008 College Bowl finalists, Staffordshire Stallions