NFL DFS: DraftKings Week 6 Picks
The ever-changing NFL DFS Week 6 is upon us with an 11-game main slate on Sunday and oddly, there are only two games in the late window. Watch out for the news regarding the Falcons and the Colts games. As I write this, they’re still on but things can change quickly. Strategy wise I think there’s lots of value at QB this week which will allow you to pay up at other positions.
These are my personal opinions on the games and strategies at the time of writing this. I may employ different players and strategies than above if later or further information makes me re-evaluate my opinions.
Kirk Cousins, MIN - $6.1k
Minnesota is a run-heavy offense and Cousins has been fairly unspectacular fantasy-wise so far this season but he’s facing an Atlanta team who give up over 30 ppg. If he’s going to score big, this is the week it will happen. He’s always fairly low-owned too so could be a good leverage play at a very affordable price.
Ryan Fitzpatrick, MIA - $5.9k
As I write this I assume he’s starting. With his performance in the last four weeks, it would be pretty tough to drop him, right? During that time he’s averaged 27.36 fppg and he scored 30 fpts off only 28 attempts last week. He now faces the shambles of a Jets team who’ve given up the 3rd most passing yards per attempt this season.
Ryan Tannehill, TEN - $5.9k
Another bargain QB who not only doesn’t get the respect he deserves in the real world, but also in the DFS pricing world. He’s been ridiculously efficient even going back to the middle of last year and his QB rating for this year is 110.8. He’s just topped 30 fpts and faces the Texans in a game that could shootout.
Mike Davis, CAR - $7k
Let’s keep riding this train while we can. Davis is getting CMC volume at a $3k discount. Currently, he’s matchup-proof due to volume as he’s had 33 targets in the last 4 games as well as 16 rushes each of the past two weeks.
Joe Mixon, CIN - $6.2k
I so rarely play Mixon but this week I couldn’t resist. He’s another pick based on volume and in the past two weeks, he’s averaged 24.5 rushes and 7 targets a game. He’s up against a tough Indy defense which is why he’s priced where he is, but I’m willing to back that volume.
Myles Gaskin, MIA - $5.4
Gaskin isn’t a touches-monster like the guys above but he’s had 61 touches over the last three games, he’s only $5.4k and now faces the Jets.
Adam Thielen, MIN - $7.3k
Thielen thrives against weaker secondaries and now faces an Atlanta team who are signing guys off the street. He averages over 29 fpts over the past two weeks. I expect his teammate Justin Jefferson to be more popular at $6k so Thielen would make a good pivot play.
AJ Brown, TEN - $5.6k
I think DraftKings dropped the ball here on AJ Brown’s price. He came back from injury against the Bills and had himself a 9 target game scoring 21.2 fpts. The Titans offense is potent from a fantasy perspective and it works better with AJB in the lineup.
Jeff Smith, NYJ - $3k
Here’s a $3k receiver who had 11 targets in week 5 and 9 targets in week 4, so why is he so cheap? Probably because of the potential return of Breshad Perriman this week. If Perriman can’t go on Sunday, Smith becomes a lock in GPPs. If Perriman is active, Smith might still offer value at $3k but I wouldn’t have too much exposure.
Mark Andrews, BAL - $6.5k
I think this is a week you can pay up at tight end and Mark Andrews is my favourite expensive play. He has been inconsistent from a fantasy scoring point-of-view so far but I like his matchup against Philly.
Zach Ertz, PHI - $5k
I also like the other side of this matchup. Ertz is due a big game. He’s getting too many targets for his current production to continue. If he does it against Baltimore, in a game the Eagles should be trailing, you will probably get him at low ownership. He will benefit from the return of receivers such as DeSean Jackson so keep an eye out for the inactives this week
Austin Hooper, CLE - $3.9k
Hooper’s targets have been increasing all season and that happened even with the return of David Njoku. I like how the Brown’s offense is playing and there’s a lot of fantasy points available there. I’m not a huge fan of the matchup but at only $3.9k, I think he’s still a great play.
Washington - $3.3k and Giants - $3.2k
This game could end 0-0. I don’t think you have to overthink this as they’re both awful offenses. I give a slight edge to Washington as they have greater sack potential but if I want to save that little bit of money, I’m happy to go with the Giants.
Miami - $2.9k
This pick is all about targeting the Jets offense. They are poor and it already feels like they’re tanking.
Patriots – Newton ($6.5k), Edelman ($5.6k), Harry ($4.5k)
This is a really contrarian stack as a lot of commentators expect the Patriots to be very run heavy against the Broncos but the Pats have surprised us in the past. Edelman and Harry receive 48% of the targets from NE QBs which is joint second on the slate. For context, the Vikings are no.1 with 54% with the Ravens and Panthers tied at 48%. The Patriots stack is the cheapest of the four.